Posts under ‘Fantasy Baseball’ Category

Daily Fantasy Baseball Must Starts: Thursday September 27th

Wednesday, September 26th, 2012
Daily fantasy baseballPlayoff contenders are full of players to avoid while two teams that are long shots for October should help fantasy owners in a big way tonight. Value plays: Arizona Diamondbacks - This isn’t an elite offense, but Barry Zito is capable of struggling, and Arizona has taken advantage on multiple occasions. They hold only a .261 team average against the lefty, but have managed a .440 slugging percentage, a number that should have fantasy baseball owners drooling. An abnormally high 45.6% of their hits have gone for extra bases, indicating that 2 consecutive hits should be enough to produce runs. The Diamondbacks roster 6 players with an OBP over .400 and figure to occupy the base paths in volume. Snag a couple of Diamondbacks for your daily fantasy baseball team and watch the runs pile up. Ryan Howard – This one takes a bit of going out on a limb, but follow my logic. The Phillies face a Nationals team that has all but locked up the division title, making a long outing from staff ace Gio Gonzalez unlikely. But when Gonzalez is in the game, the top of the Phillies order has had plenty of succes when it comes to getting on base. Jimmy Rollins (.500 batting average), Placido Polanco (.308 batting average), and Juan Pierre (.300 batting average) have all found their way on base well above their career average against the Nats ace, giving Howard plenty of run producing opportunities tonight. He is hitless in 3 career at bats against Gonzalez, but has put the ball in play on all 3 occasions. Howard still has elite power, and if he has a history of making contact and there are going to be runners on base, I’m taking my chances with the slugger. Players to avoid: Corey Hart - He has an outside chance to set a career high in home runs this season, but nagging injuries combined with a tough matchup makes Hart a risky play at best tonight in daily fantasy baseball games. New Yankee Stadium is recognized as a hitters park, but Milwaukee is often forgot about as a favorable place for hitters. Hart’s batting average at home is 64 points higher than it is on the road, a concerning stat regardless of the opposing pitcher. Mat Latos has locked up the 8 year pro to the tune of a .083 batting average and .167 slugging percentage. Typically having Ryan Braun bat near him is a good thing, but it doesn’t help him against Latos, as the MVP candidate is hitless in 11 career at bats against the righty. Derek Jeter and Curtis Granderson – It could be tempting to roster the powerful Granderson or the clutch Jeter in a game that the Yankees need, but they have been victims of the “good” Brandon Morrow. The Blue Jays pitcher struggles with consistency, but has been successful on 32 of 38 occasions. Nearly two thirds of those outs have been recorded via K, giving them next to no fantasy value. None of the Yankees have hit Morrow exceptionally well (.223 team batting average) resulting in a lower ceiling for the top of the order Yanks. Kevin Youkilis – The White Sox traded for the Youker to help them out in games like this, but this is a tough spot for the former Red Sox. James Shields has held Youkilis to a abysmal .103 batting average with 0 RBI and 2.5 times as many strikeouts as hits. The White Sox are fading fast in the race for the AL Central and their mid season acquisition isn’t likely to help them out.

Daily Fantasy Baseball Must Starts: Wednesday September 26th

Tuesday, September 25th, 2012

Daily Fantasy BaseballMatch ups are every thing in daily fantasy baseball, which is why Allen Craig is among the most valuable options tonight.

Value plays:

Allen Craig – The 28 year old utility man has very quietly put together a valuable season for his loyal fantasy baseball owners, and that’ll continue tonight. In fact, Craig has topped ex-Cardinal Albert Pujols in OPS, slugging percentage, and runs created per 27 outs this season, giving extreme value in daily fantasy baseball games. He has a .500 batting average and a 1.000 slugging percentage against Bud Norris, numbers that are too good to be ignored. Look for Craig to provide a boost to a Cardinals team that needs to win to hold onto their wild card lead.

Carlos Pena – If you’re rostering Pena, you’re well aware of his tendancy to strikeout. But tonight, his power potential outweighs the high strikeout rate, as he has crushed Jon Lester when he has made contact. An amazing 55% of Pena’s hits against the Red Sox lefty have left the park, resulting in a slugging percentage that is 428 points higher than his batting average. He also averages 1.3 RBI per hit, a ratio that makes Pena a low risk and high reward option tonight.

Alexi Casilla – The Twins offense is not very good and Casilla’s .229 season batting average is no exception. That being said, he has had plenty of success against CC Sabathia. He is batting .556 against the Yankees ace and has only struck out one time. He is a pesky hitter who has found his way on base more often than not against Sabathia, providing fantasy owners with plenty of value given his low price tag.

Players to avoid:

Alexei Ramirez – The White Sox are attempting to hang onto their playoff position, and they can’t count on Ramirez tonight to help them. The Chicago SS has only 4 hits in 32 at bats (.125 batting average) against Justin Masterson, having recorded more strikeouts than hits. Ramirez is struggling in September as his batting average is 43 points lower than it was in any of the past 3 months. He will establish a new career low in OPS this season, giving him very little upside in daily fantasy baseball leagues.

Atlanta Braves – Josh Johnson is healthy and pitching up to his potential, recording 4 consecutive quality starts in September. The playoff bound Braves are batting only .214 against the big righty, having struck out in 29% of their at bats. They average one HR every 105 at bats against Johnson, and with little upside when it comes to batting average, it is going to be difficult for Atlanta to score multiple runs tonight.

Daily Fantasy Baseball Must Starts: Tuesday September 25th

Tuesday, September 25th, 2012

Daily Fantasy BaseballThere are plenty of MVP candidates in action today, but the lower priced players deserve some of your attention for today’s action.

Value plays:

Paul Goldschmidt – Arizona’s first basemen has made vast improvements this season, a trend that figures to continue against Tim Lincecum. Goldschmidt holds an impressive .538 batting average, but it is his slugging ability that gives him a chance to be among the games elite tonight. He has taken Linceum deep 4 times, the primary reason why he holds a 1.538 slugging percentage against the Giants baby faced assassin. After a difficult August, Goldschmidt is rolling right now, and should be considered a baragin at his current asking price in daily fantasy baseball games.

Dodgers not named Hanley Ramirez – All other Dodgers are getting a hit once every three at bats against Edinson Volquez, working more walks than strikeouts. Andre Ethier leads the team in extra base hits and RBI against the righty while Matt Lemp leads the squad in batting average. With their big guns producing, cheaper options like Mark Ellis (.400 batting average versus Volquez) and Juan Rivera (.455) have more value their a typical night. Don’t hesitate to use every Dodger you can get your hands on tonight, as they are a good bet to produce big fantasy baseball numbers in a game they absolutely need to win.

Jason Bay – Remember when Bay was a must start in any format of daily fantasy baseball format? Those days are long gone (.155 batting average this season) but he figures to get a chance to shine tonight, as he has hit Wandy Rodriguez as well as any player in the league. He boasts a .455 batting average with more RBI than hits, leading a Mets team that owns a .290 average against Rodriguez. Stat to consider: Jason Bay is batting .305 in September over his last 3 seasons, by far his best month. Bay is the best combination of risk/reward as the regular season winds down.

Players to avoid:

Ben Zobrist – The Red Sox disarray isn’t going to affect the pitching style of Clay Buchholz, bad news for the Rays utility man. He is currently batting .103 against Boston’s righty, with nothing but singles. Tampa Bay is hitting .222 against Buchholz, making the run production potential for any Rays hitters relatively low. Buccholz has been quietly dominant in his past 2 starts (14 innings, 8 hits, 1 earned run), with two thirds of his outs coming either via K or ground ball. The signs are pointing downward for Zobrist and upward for Buccholz, making tonight a tough matchup for the Rays second basemen.

Aramis Ramirez – Mike Leake is better than his numbers show, and tonight could be a confidence builder heading into the postseason. ARam is had a Leake in his approach against  the Reds righty, as he has recorded only 2 hits in 21 career at bats. Ramirez’s batting average is 27 points lower on the road, and is likely to dip after tonights game.

Daily Fantasy Baseball Must Starts: Monday September 24th

Sunday, September 23rd, 2012

Daily Fantasy BaseballA very slow day in the majors leaves you with a few mid level players who could be among the top performers tonight.

Value plays:

Billy Butler – Justin Verlander has struggled this season (4.76 ERA) against the Royals this season, and Butler is the most likely Royal to experience a productive day against the Tigers ace. Butler has a career .367 batting average against the elite righty, having 33% of his hits go for extra bases. The Royals as a team are batting .251 against Verlander, a number that isn’t impressive unless you consider that the MLB is batting .217 against Verlander this season. Kansas City is a good bet to at least score against the Tigers tonight, and with Butler accounting for 40% of their RBI and 50% of their HR’s, he is a good play in daily fantasy baseball games tonight despite the tough matchup

Aramis Ramirez – The Brewers are getting hot at the right time, and that doesn’t only apply for the NL wild card race. Milwaukee’s late season surge has provided plenty of value for their loyal fantasy baseball owners, and tonight should be no different for ARam. Look past Jordan Zimmerman’s sub 3 ERA and you’ll see that Ramirez holds a .462 batting average and a .923 slugging percentage. He has accounted for 57% of the Brewers extra base hits against the Nats “ace”, and with the BrewCrew clicking on all cylinders right now, the veteran third basemen is worth your while tonight.

Players to avoid:

Michael Cuddyer – The Rockies are a bad baseball team that has some good players on it. Cuddyer is one of those players, but he has done very little to encourage fantasy baseball owners against Trevor Cahill. He has only 1 hit (a harmless single) in 14 career at bats against the sneaky good Diamondbacks righty. The odds of Cuddyer breaking that trend shrink when you consider how good Cahill has been lately. He has recorded 3 straight quality starts (going 3-0 over that span) and has not given up a HR since August 10th. The thin air in Coloardo doesn’t make up for these stats, giving me daily fantasy baseball owners no reason to risk a roster spot on the Rockies utility man.